“Why Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs Deserve Investment: Addressing Misconceptions About Second-Contract Running Backs”
For nearly a decade, NFL teams have adhered to a strategy of avoiding premium draft picks and hefty contracts for running backs, believing they can easily replace them. This approach faces scrutiny with the contracts sought by Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, the top picks in 2023. Despite the data showing later-round backs can be productive, replacing the unique contributions of Robinson and Gibbs is challenging. Their combined high performance and efficiency make them exceptions in a landscape dominated by replaceable talent. As they seek contracts potentially exceeding $25 million, teams must reconsider their value against traditional running back economics.
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