Sean Payton’s Controversial Fourth-Down Decision in AFC Championship Loss Highlights the Limits of Analytics
NFL coaches should be cautious about relying solely on analytics, as demonstrated by Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton’s decision during the AFC Championship Game. With the Broncos leading 7-0 in the second quarter, Payton opted for a risky fourth-and-1 play instead of kicking a field goal. The attempt failed, and backup quarterback Jarrett Stidham almost threw an interception. The Broncos later struggled offensively in snowy conditions, mustering just 3.1 yards per play in a 10-7 loss. While some praised Payton’s aggressiveness, others believed he made a poor decision.
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