ESPN’s SackSEER predicts strong, deep edge rusher class


ESPN’s SackSEER Forecasts a Robust and Talented Edge Rusher Class

In 2010, Football Outsiders created SackSEER, a regression-based formula to predict the success of NFL edge rushers drafted. The formula uses metrics like an explosion index, adjusted college sacks per game, and recently added passes defensed. While it incorporates a scouting element based on projected draft positions, it occasionally has misses, exemplified by Jason Pierre-Paul. Nonetheless, it often accurately identifies busts over potential stars. In the 2026 draft, SackSEER projects solid edge rusher talent, with seven expected first-round picks. Cowboys fans hope for a repeat of past successes, like DeMarcus Lawrence, as they evaluate potential draft targets.

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